{"id":785,"date":"2010-12-16T00:17:00","date_gmt":"2010-12-15T16:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tokuhon.blog\/2010\/12\/16\/%e4%b8%8a%e8%bb%8a3-1%e9%a6%99%e6%b8%af%e6%a8%93%e5%b8%82%e7%9a%84%e5%91%a8%e6%9c%9f2010-12-16\/"},"modified":"2018-02-07T21:46:54","modified_gmt":"2018-02-07T13:46:54","slug":"%e4%b8%8a%e8%bb%8a3-1%e9%a6%99%e6%b8%af%e6%a8%93%e5%b8%82%e7%9a%84%e5%91%a8%e6%9c%9f2010-12-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tokuhon.blog\/?p=785","title":{"rendered":"[\u4e0a\u8eca]3.1\u9999\u6e2f\u6a13\u5e02\u7684\u5468\u671f(2010\/12\/16)"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u8cb7\u6a13\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u8981\u7559\u610f\u6642\u6a5f\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6a13\u5e02\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\u5341\u5206\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u4e00\u5982\u6625\u590f\u79cb\u51ac\uff0c\u65e5\u51fa\u65e5\u843d\u3002\u5481\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u554f\uff1a\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u771f\u7684\u6709\u8fa6\u6cd5\u6349\u5230\u9ad8\u4f4e\u9ede\uff1f\u4e0d\u904e\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u6839\u672c\u5c31\u6c92\u6709\u5bdf\u89ba\u5230\u6a13\u5e02\u5468\u671f\u6027\u7684\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u597d\u5e02\u6642\u4f62\u5730\u6703\u8a71\u85aa\u91d1\u6c38\u9060\u8ffd\u5514\u5230\u6a13\u50f9\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e02\u6642\u4f62\u5730\u6703\u8a71\u6a13\u5e02\u4e00\u5982\u7121\u5e95\u6d1e\uff0c\u9001\u9996\u671f\u6bd4\u4f62\u5730\u90fd\u5514\u60f3\u4f9b\uff0c\u8a71\u6015\u5de6\u8b8a\u8ca0\u8cc7\u7522\u3002<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n

\u524d\u9762\u4ecb\u7d39\u904e<\/span>1965<\/span>\u5e74\u81f3<\/span>2009<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u6a13\u50f9\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u5c07\u4f62\u5283\u6210\u5716\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u65e9\u671f\u6578\u5b57\u5f88\u7d30\uff0c\u76f8\u5c0d\u4e0a\u91d1\u984d\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u7d30\uff0c\u70ba\u53cd\u6620\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5347\u8dcc\u5e45\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e0b\u5716\u7528\u4e86\u534a\u5c0d\u6578\u8868<\/span>(semi-log graph)<\/span>\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6a13\u50f9\u7531<\/span>$100<\/span>\u5347\u5230<\/span>$1,000<\/span>\u4fc2\u5341\u500d\uff0c\u7531<\/span>$1,000<\/span>\u5347\u5230<\/span>$10,000<\/span>\u53c8\u4fc2\u5341\u500d\uff0c\u7528\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u9577\u5ea6\u8868\u793a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u674e\u56db\u53d4\u81ea\u50b3\u9644\u9304\u6700\u65e9\u7684\u6578\u64da\u662f<\/span>1965<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u7576\u5e74\u767c\u751f\u9280\u884c\u64e0\u63d0\u6f6e\uff0c\u9023\u6046\u751f\u9280\u884c\u90fd\u88ab\u64e0\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u5f15\u767c\u6a13\u50f9\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u5230<\/span>1967<\/span>\u5e74\u5167\u5730\u6587\u9769\u6ce2\u53ca\u9999\u6e2f\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u66b4\u52d5\uff0c\u7d50\u675f\u4e86\u9019\u4e00\u56de\u6a13\u5e02\u5468\u671f\u3002\u6e2f\u5cf6\u5340\u6a13\u50f9\u5169\u5e74\u7531<\/span>$51<\/span>\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5230<\/span>$41<\/span>\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u5169\u6210\u3002<\/span>
<\/span><\/p>\n

\u81ea<\/span>1969<\/span>\u5e74\u9060\u6771\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u6253\u7834\u9999\u6e2f\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u7684\u7368\u5e02\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u8cc7\u91d1\u64c1\u5165\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u9999\u6e2f\u5404\u4e3b\u8981\u5730\u7522\u767c\u5c55\u5546\u5927\u90fd\u662f\u9019\u6642\u4e0a\u5e02\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u5728<\/span>1973<\/span>\u5e74\u56e0\u5047\u80a1\u7968\u5f15\u767c\u80a1\u7968\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u6e2f\u5cf6\u5340\u6a13\u50f9\u5728\u516d\u5e74\u9593\u7531<\/span>$41<\/span>\u5347\u5230<\/span>$220<\/span>\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u4e0a\u5347\u4e94\u500d\uff1b\u7136\u5f8c\u7528\u4e00\u5e74\u6642\u9593\u7531<\/span>$220<\/span>\u8dcc\u5230<\/span>$176<\/span>\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5169\u6210\u3002<\/span>
<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6a13\u5e02\u4e4b\u5f8c\u6f38\u6f38\u6062\u5fa9\uff0c<\/span>1976<\/span>\u5e74\u7d50\u675f\u6587\u9769\uff0c<\/span>1978<\/span>\u5e74\u4e2d\u570b\u958b\u653e\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u5747\u4ee4\u5230\u6a13\u5e02\u9f13\u821e\u8d77\u4f86\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0a\u51fa\u73fe\u722d\u76f8\u6536\u8cfc\u64c1\u6709\u571f\u5730\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u71b1\u6f6e\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u6a13\u5e02\u9020\u6210\u5730\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u537b\u5728<\/span>1982<\/span>\u5e74\u51fa\u73fe\u9999\u6e2f\u524d\u9014\u554f\u984c\u5f15\u767c\u6a13\u50f9\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u6e2f\u5cf6\u5340\u6a13\u50f9\u4e03\u5e74\u9593\u7531<\/span>$220<\/span>\u5347\u5230<\/span>$,1049<\/span>\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u4e0a\u5347\u516d\u500d\uff1b\u7136\u5f8c\u7528\u4e09\u5e74\u6642\u9593\u7531<\/span>$1,049<\/span>\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5230<\/span>$698<\/span>\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e45\u9054\u4e09\u6210\u591a\u3002<\/span>
<\/span><\/p>\n

\u96a8\u8457\u4e2d\u82f1\u7c3d\u7f72\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u6a13\u50f9\u7531\u6975\u4f4e\u4f30\u503c\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u7d93\u904e<\/span>87<\/span>\u80a1\u707d\u3001<\/span>89<\/span>\u516d\u56db\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3001<\/span>91<\/span>\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u6230\u722d\u7b49\uff0c\u6a13\u50f9\u5747\u7565\u70ba\u4e0b\u964d\u518d\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u76f4\u5230<\/span>97<\/span>\u56de\u6b78\u5f8c\u9047\u4e0a\u4e9e\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u5927\u91cf\u62cb\u552e\u571f\u5730\u53ca\u516c\u71df\u623f\u5c4b\uff0c\u6a13\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u76f4\u5230<\/span>03<\/span>\u5e74\u6c99\u58eb\u5f8c\u898b\u5e95\u3002\u6e2f\u5cf6\u5340\u6a13\u50f9\u5728\u5341\u4e09\u5e74\u5167\u7531<\/span>$698<\/span>\u5347\u5230<\/span>$7,729<\/span>\uff0c\u5347\u5e45\u9054\u5341\u4e00\u500d\uff1b\u7136\u5f8c\u7528\u4e86\u516d\u5e74\u6642\u9593\u7531<\/span>$7,729<\/span>\u8dcc\u5230<\/span>$2,834<\/span>\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u516d\u6210\u591a\u3002<\/span>
<\/span><\/p>\n

\u76ee\u524d\u904b\u884c\u7684\u6a13\u5e02\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u7531<\/span>2003<\/span>\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u4ee5<\/span>2009<\/span>\u5e74\u8a08\uff0c\u5df2\u904b\u884c\u4e86\u516d\u5e74\u591a\uff0c\u96d6\u7d93<\/span>08<\/span>\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u7684\u6c96\u6483\uff0c\u4ecd\u80fd\u5728<\/span>2010<\/span>\u5e74\u5347\u7834\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u5411<\/span>1997<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u9ede\u9032\u767c\u3002\u66ab\u6642\u8a08\u7b97\u662f\u7528\u4e86\u4e03\u5e74\u7531<\/span>$2,834<\/span>\u4e0a\u5347\u5230<\/span>2010<\/span>\u5e74\u4e2d\u7684<\/span>$8,078<\/span>\uff0c\u4e0a\u5347\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e09\u500d\u3002<\/span>
<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7b46\u8005\u7e3d\u7d50\u5230\u5e7e\u500b\u5171\u901a\u9ede\uff1a<\/span>
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1.     <\/span><\/span>\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6642\u9593\u9577\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u6642\u9593\u77ed\uff1a\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u7684\u8dcc\u5e02\uff0c\u90fd\u4fc2\u5169\u4e09\u5e74\u5167\u641e\u6382\uff0c\u9664\u5de6<\/span>1997-2003<\/span>\u679c\u6b21\uff0c\u9577\u9054\u4e94\u5e74\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u4e4b\u524d\u500b\u5347\u6d6a\u4fc2\u5341\u4e09\u5e74\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u7684\u5347\u6d6a\u5230\u4eca\u65e5\u70ba\u6b62\u5df2\u7d93\u884c\u5de6\u4e03\u5e74\u3002\u5373\u4fc2\u53ef\u4ee5\u8a71\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8dcc\u5e02\u4fc2\u4e94\u5e74\uff0c\u898b\u5e95\u4e4b\u5f8c\u4e94\u5e74\u4e4b\u5167\u5176\u5be6\u90fd\u4fc2\u5b89\u5168\u671f\u3002<\/span>
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2.     <\/span><\/span>\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u5927\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u7d30\uff1a\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u6a13\u5e02\u5927\u5347\u5e02\uff0c\u5347\u5e45\u90fd\u4fc2\u4ee5\u500d\u8a08\uff0c\u5c31\u4ee5<\/span>2003<\/span>\u5e74\u81f3\u4eca\u7684\u5347\u6d6a\uff0c\u4e2d\u539f\u6307\u6578\u7531\u6700\u4f4e<\/span>31.77<\/span>\uff0c\u5347\u5230\u800c\u5bb6\u63a5\u8fd1<\/span>90<\/span>\u9ede\uff0c\u5dee\u5514\u591a\u90fd\u6709\u4e09\u500d\u3002\u81f3\u65bc\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u5927\u8336\u98ef\u6642\u4ee3\uff0c\u4e94\u500d\u516d\u500d\u5341\u4e00\u500d\u90fd\u8a66\u904e\u3002\u8dcc\u5e45\u5462\uff1f\u6700\u7518\u679c\u6b21\u5efa\u83ef\u516b\u5e74\uff0c\u6a13\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u9054\u516d\u5e7e\uff0c\u5373\u4fc2\u8dcc\u5269\u4e00\u534a\u90fd\u7121\uff0c\u5176\u9918\u591a\u6578\u90fd\u4fc2\u5169\u4e09\u6210\u3002\u9806\u5e36\u4e00\u63d0\uff0c\u5927\u5347\u5e02\u4e2d\u6703\u6709\u4e00\uff44\u5c0f\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e45\u90fd\u4fc2\u5481\u4e0a\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f8b\u5b50\u6709<\/span>89<\/span>\u516d\u56db\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3001\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u6230\u722d\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u7b49\uff0c\u90fd\u4fc2\u8dcc\u5169\u4e09\u6210\u5c31\u6536\u5de5\u3002<\/span>
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3.     <\/span><\/span>\u5347\u5e02\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u53ca\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5371\u6a5f\u4e0b\u7d50\u675f\uff1a\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u7576\u884c\u5230\u73a9\u4e32\u5de6\u500b\u91d1\u878d\u9ad4\u7cfb\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u4eba\u5011\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5d29\u6f70\uff0c\u5347\u5e02\u5c31\u6536\u5de5\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u9280\u884c\u64e0\u63d0\u3001\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\u3001\u9999\u6e2f\u524d\u9014\u554f\u984c\u3001\u4e9e\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u4e4b\u985e\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u5481\u5927\u5291\u91ce\uff0c\u9ede\u89e3\u90fd\u6bba\u5514\u6b7b\u5347\u5e02\u5462\uff1f\u7b46\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u7576\u653f\u5e9c\u6709\u8fa6\u6cd5\u6551\u5f97\u751f\u7d93\u6fdf\u540c\u91d1\u878d\u9ad4\u7cfb\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u5011\u4fe1\u5fc3\u672a\u5931\u6642\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\u5c1a\u597d\u6642\uff0c\u5347\u5e02\u4ecd\u7136\u884c\u843d\u53bb\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\u53c8\u5514\u6382\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u89e3\u6c7a\u5514\u5230\uff0c\u4fe1\u5fc3\u53c8\u5514\u6382\uff0c\u5481\u5c31\u6703\u73a9\uff0c\u79d1\u7db2\u6f6e\u6642\u6a13\u5e02\u90fd\u66fe\u7d93\u5347\u904e\u5169\u6210\u5e7e\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u5f8c\u4f86\u8b49\u5be6\u79d1\u7db2\u71b1\u6f6e\u4fc2\u6d41\u91ce\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u53c8\u5927\u628a\u628a\u5481\u639f\u5730\u540c\u639f\u5c45\u5c4b\uff0c\u5481\u500b\u8dcc\u5e02\u54aa\u7e7c\u7e8c\u56c9\uff01<\/span>
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4.     <\/span><\/span>\u8dcc\u5e02\u7531\u6975\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7d50\u675f\uff1a\u6240\u8b02\u300c\u8840\u6ffa\u8857\u982d\u4fc2\u5165\u5e02\u6642\u6a5f\u300d\uff0c\u807d\u843d\u53bb\u771f\u4fc2\u597d\u523b\u8584\uff0c\u547d\u4ed4\u90fd\u4fdd\u5514\u4f4f\uff0c\u4ef2\u8b1b\u4e5c\u91ce\u5165\u5e02\u4e2b\uff1f\u6bcf\u6b21\u6a13\u5e02\u898b\u5e95\uff0c\u90fd\u6709\u9707\u64bc\u4eba\u5fc3\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u66b4\u52d5\u3001\u71c8\u706b\u7ba1\u5236\u3001\u79fb\u6c11\u6f6e\u3001\u50b3\u67d3\u7d55\u75c7\u4e4b\u985e\u3002\u7576\u4eba\u5011\u89ba\u5f97\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u751a\u81f3\u751f\u547d\u90fd\u53d7\u5230\u5a01\u8105\u6642\uff0c\u70ba\u6c42\u81ea\u4fdd\u80a1\u7968\u6a13\u639f\u5f97\u5c31\u639f\uff0c\u500b\u5e02\u5c31\u6703\u898b\u5e95\u3002\u5982\u679c\u9047\u5230\u5462\u985e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u6a5f\u6703\u5c31\u5728\u773c\u524d\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u4eba\u985e\u884c\u70ba\u81ea\u7136\u6703\u4ee4\u6211\u5730\u80cc\u9053\u800c\u99b3\uff0c\u6211\u5730\u5230\u6642\u4ea6\u672a\u5fc5\u6709\u5be6\u529b\u5165\u5e02\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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