{"id":1647,"date":"2004-08-20T19:26:00","date_gmt":"2004-08-20T11:26:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tokuhon.blog\/2004\/08\/20\/%e9%87%91%e9%8c%a2%e5%8d%9a%e5%a5%95%e2%94%80%e2%94%80%e9%97%9c%e6%96%bc%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e7%9a%84%e8%b4%8f%e9%9d%a2%e5%95%8f%e9%a1%8c2004-08-20\/"},"modified":"2018-02-08T09:24:34","modified_gmt":"2018-02-08T01:24:34","slug":"%e9%87%91%e9%8c%a2%e5%8d%9a%e5%a5%95%e2%94%80%e2%94%80%e9%97%9c%e6%96%bc%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e7%9a%84%e8%b4%8f%e9%9d%a2%e5%95%8f%e9%a1%8c2004-08-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tokuhon.blog\/?p=1647","title":{"rendered":"\u91d1\u9322\u535a\u5955\u2500\u2500\u95dc\u65bc\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u8d0f\u9762\u554f\u984c(2004-08-20)"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u65e2\u7136\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u4efd\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u9003\u907f\u4e0d\u5982\u63a5\u53d7\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u8a8d\u8b58\u4ee5\u81f3\u638c\u63e1\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u70ba\u751a\u9ebc\u90a3\u9ebc\u591a\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u9003\u907f\u81ea\u5df1\u638c\u63e1\u6295\u8cc7\u7406\u8ca1\u4e4b\u9053\u5462\uff1f\u7b46\u8005\u76f8\u4fe1\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u7d55\u5927\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u90fd\u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u624b\u7684\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7092\u80a1\u7968\u3001\u5b58\u5916\u532f\u3001\u8cb7\u6a13\u751a\u81f3\u8cb7\u5f37\u7a4d\u91d1\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f38\u9322\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4fbf\u628a\u6295\u8cc7\u8207\u8ced\u535a\u7b49\u540c\u3002\u50b3\u7d71\u89c0\u5ff5\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u8ced\u535a\u3001\u6295\u6a5f\u5747\u662f\u8ca0\u9762\u7684\uff0c\u65e2\u7136\u4fc2\u8ca0\u9762\u7684\uff0c\u7576\u7136\u5c31\u8981\u9060\u96e2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u500b\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u7121\u8ad6\u8ced\u535a\u3001\u6295\u6a5f\u6216\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u5426\u8ca0\u9762\uff0c\u8981\u8996\u4e4e\u7576\u4e8b\u4eba\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u8ced\u535a\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u5a1b\u6a02\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u6253\u9ebb\u96c0\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u5fc3\u7406\u6cbb\u7642\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u516d\u5408\u5f69\uff0c\u660e\u77e5\u96e3\u4e2d\u90fd\u8981\u8cb7\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u90a3\u662f\u4e00\u5834\u7f8e\u5922\uff09\uff0c\u4e16\u4eba\u537b\u8996\u4e4b\u70ba\u6435\u9322\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4fbf\u662f\u932f\u3002\u6295\u6a5f\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u9b25\u5fd7\u9b25\u529b\u7684\u535a\u5955\uff0c\u4e16\u4eba\u537b\u8996\u4e4b\u70ba\u904a\u6232\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u8f38\u591a\u8d0f\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4efb\u4f55\u91d1\u9322\u904a\u6232\uff0c\u5747\u53ef\u4ee5\u5206\u70ba\u56db\u7a2e\uff1a
\n\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232(zero sum game)
\n\u6b63\u548c\u904a\u6232(positive sum game)
\n\u8ca0\u548c\u904a\u6232(negative sum game)
\n\u6b63\u8ca0\u548c\u904a\u6232(positive-negative sum game)<\/p>\n

\u5f88\u591a\u521d\u5b78\u8005\u5747\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u9019\u662f\u751a\u9ebc\uff0c\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u662f\u9019\u7a2e\u904a\u6232\u7684\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5c11\uff0c\u9084\u662f\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u5982\u8ced\u99ac\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u99ac\u6703\u8981\u4ea4\u535a\u5f69\u7a05\uff0c\u53c8\u8981\u300c\u60e0\u6fa4\u793e\u7fa4\u300d\uff0c\u53c8\u8981\u71c8\u6cb9\u706b\u881f\uff0c\u53ea\u6703\u8d8a\u8ced\u8d8a\u7e2e\uff0c\u99ac\u6703\uff08\u6216\u6240\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u8ced\u5834\uff09\u8981\u8cfa\u9322\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u8f38\u5f97\u591a\u65bc\u5176\u6536\u76ca\u624d\u53ef\uff0c\u9019\u4fbf\u662f\u5178\u578b\u7684\u300c\u8ca0\u548c\u904a\u6232\u300d\u3002\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6240\u6709\u7684\u8ced\u535a\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u6709\u5206\u838a\u9592\uff0c\u9592\u5bb6\u7684\u8d0f\u9762\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u662f\u5c11\u65bc50%\uff0c\u838a\u5bb6\u624d\u80fd\u751f\u5b58\u7372\u5229\u3002\u7092\u8ce3\u7aa9\u8f2a\u4e5f\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u767c\u884c\u6642\u5df2\u52a0\u4e8620-30%\u7684\u6ea2\u50f9\uff0c\u5373\u7b49\u5982\u7528$12-13\u53bb\u8cb7$10\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u662f\u8f38\u591a\u8d0f\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n

\u671f\u6307\u3001\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u9ec3\u91d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u5546\u54c1\u8cb7\u8ce3\uff0c\u5747\u662f\u5178\u578b\u7684\u300c\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232\u300d\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u8cb7\u8ce3\u6c92\u6709\u5dee\u50f9\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u7d93\u7d00\u4f63\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u8cb7\u8ce3\u96d9\u65b9\u7684\u5f97\u5931\u7531\u5c0d\u65b9\u88dc\u8cbc\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u300c\u5858\u6c34\u6efe\u5858\u9b5a\u300d\u9ece\u5f62\u5bb9\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u8981\u7372\u5229\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u300c\u9ad8\u7ae0\u300d\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u4ee4\u4eba\u81ea\u52d5\u737b\u4e0a\u91d1\u9322\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u904a\u6232\u5df2\u7d93\u6bd4\u8ca0\u548c\u904a\u6232\u516c\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6709\u6c92\u6709\u4e00\u7a2e\u300c\u6b63\u548c\u904a\u6232\u300d\u5481\u7b4d\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u5462\uff1f\u672c\u4f86\u6211\u4ee5\u70ba\u6c92\u6709\u7684\uff0c\u5f8c\u4f86\u6709\u4eba\u544a\u77e5\uff0c\u539f\u4f86\u5916\u532f\u662f\u5c6c\u65bc\u6b64\u985e\uff0c\u70ba\u751a\u9ebc\u5462\uff1f\u672c\u4f86\uff0c\u5916\u532f\u540c\u5176\u4ed6\u5546\u54c1\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u904a\u6232\uff0c\u539f\u4f86\u9019\u53ea\u662f\u9580\u5916\u6f22\u7684\u932f\u89ba\uff0c\u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834\u7d93\u5e38\u6709\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u7684\u5e72\u9810\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u5e72\u9810\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u591a\u4ee5\u8f38\u9322\u6536\u5834\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4f62\u5730\u4fc2\u88ab\u8feb\u9006\u5e02\u64cd\u4f5c\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u592a\u5f37\u6642\u8981\u58d3\u50f9\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u592a\u5f31\u6642\u8981\u6258\u50f9\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u8f38\u4e86\u7684\u9322\u53bb\u4e86\u90a3\u88cf\uff1f\u81ea\u7136\u662f\u7d66\u5176\u9918\u73a9\u5bb6\u5206\u4eab\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u8457\u7092\u5916\u532f\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u5546\u54c1\u6709\u591a\u5927\u7684\u512a\u52e2\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u96d6\u7136\u5404\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u4e0d\u65b7\u6d3e\u9322\uff0c\u4f46\u4fc2\u4e26\u4e0d\u8868\u793a\u6563\u6236\u53ef\u4ee5\u57f7\u5230\u5462\uff44\u9322\uff0c\u597d\u591a\u6642\u6bd4\u5546\u696d\u9280\u884c\u6216\u8005\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u98df\u6652\uff0c\u6563\u6236\u4ef2\u8981\u5614\u7a81\uff01<\/p>\n

\u300c\u6b63\u8ca0\u548c\u904a\u6232\u300d\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u8f03\u5c11\u4eba\u63d0\u53ca\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u800c\u80a1\u7968\u53ca\u7269\u696d\u6295\u8cc7\u6b63\u6b63\u662f\u9019\u4e00\u7a2e\u3002\u7121\u8ad6\u8cb7\u6a13\u6216\u8cb7\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u8cfa\u8755\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u662f\u7121\u95dc\u7684\u3002\u96fb\u76c8\u7576\u5e74\u7092\u4e0a$28\uff0c\u662f\u4eba\u4eba\u9f4a\u8cfa\uff0c\u7531$28\u8dcc\u4e5d\u6210\uff0c\u662f\u4eba\u4eba\u9f4a\u8755\u3002\u540c\u6a23\u9053\u7406\uff0c\u4e2d\u539f\u6307\u6578\u7531\u4e00\u767e\u9ede\u8dcc\u5230\u4e09\u5341\u5e7e\u9ede\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u6210\u70ba\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5347\u56de\u56db\u5341\u5e7e\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u6210\u70ba\u5f97\u76ca\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n

\u67d0\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u50f9\uff04\uff17\uff0c\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u5229\uff04\uff10\uff0e\uff18\uff0c\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\uff18\uff0e\uff17\uff15\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u4e00\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\u5ba3\u4f48\u696d\u7e3e\uff0c\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u5229\uff04\uff11\uff0e\uff12\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\uff18\uff0e\uff17\uff15\u500d\uff0c\u80a1\u50f9\u5c31\u4fc2\uff04\uff11\uff10\uff0e\uff15\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u76c8\u5229\u589e\u9577\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5230\uff11\uff12\u500d\uff0c\u5e02\u50f9\u8b8a\u6210\uff04\uff11\uff14\uff0e\uff14<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u4e8c\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\u5ba3\u4f48\u696d\u7e3e\uff0c\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u5229\u53ea\u6709\uff04\uff10\uff0e\uff15\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\uff18\uff0e\uff17\uff15\u500d\uff0c\u80a1\u50f9\u5c31\u4fc2\uff04\uff14\uff0e\uff13\uff17\uff15\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u76c8\u5229\u5012\u9000\uff0c\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\uff15\u500d\uff0c\u5e02\u50f9\u8b8a\u6210\uff04\uff12\uff0e\uff15<\/p>\n

\u7121\u8ad6\u4f8b\u4e00\u6216\u4f8b\u4e8c\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u6240\u5f97\u6216\u8005\u6240\u5931\uff0c\u5747\u4e0d\u662f\u4f86\u81ea\u4ed6\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n

\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u986f\u793a\u4f9b\u6c42\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6700\u6839\u672c\u662f\u7531\u300c\u50f9\u503c\u300d\u53bb\u63a8\u52d5\u3002\u532f\u8c50\u4ee5$1\u6536\u8cfc\u548c\u8a18\u6d0b\u884c\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u4ee5$6\u8ce3\u7d66\u9577\u5be6\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u532f\u8c50\u9280\u884c\u6435\u674e\u95a5\u7b28\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u4e5f\u7121\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u548c\u9ec3\u8dcc\u56de$1.5\uff08\u56e0\u70ba\u548c\u9ec3\u66fe\u7d93\u4e00\u62c6\u56db\uff0c\u5373\u9577\u5be6\u7684\u8cb7\u5165\u50f9\uff09\u3002\u540c\u6a23\u5730\uff0c\u96fb\u76c8\u71df\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u5927\u8dcc\uff0c\u8cc7\u7522\u5927\u5e45\u6487\u503c\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u91cd\u898b$28\u4e5f\u662f\u6c92\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u50f9\u503c\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4e5f\u8981\u8003\u616e\u56e0\u77ed\u671f\u4f9b\u6c42\u800c\u5f15\u81f4\u50f9\u683c\u8207\u50f9\u503c\u7684\u504f\u96e2\uff0c\u50f9\u503c$10\u7684\u6771\u897f\uff0c\u6709\u6642\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528$8\u8cb7\u5230\uff0c\u6709\u6642\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528$12\u8cb7\u5230\uff0c\u6700\u6210\u529f\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u540c\u6642\u628a\u63e1\u50f9\u503c\u4e0a\u5347\u53ca\u50f9\u683c\u7531\u504f\u4f4e(under valued)\u8d70\u5411\u504f\u9ad8(over valued)\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n

P.S.\u6709\u4e00\u9ede\u88dc\u5145\uff0c\u80fd\u5920\u4ee4\u4f60\u73a9\u6b63\u548c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u662f\u300c\u512a\u8cea\u80a1\u300d\uff0c\u80fd\u5920\u4ee4\u4f60\u73a9\u8ca0\u548c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u662f\u300c\u52a3\u8cea\u80a1\u300d\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\u4f60\u6c38\u9060\u7121\u6cd5\u7528\u5e7e\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\uff0c\u53c8\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\u4f60\u6c38\u9060\u7121\u6cd5\u7528\u5e7e\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8ce3\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u61c9\u8a72\u505a\u7684\u4e8b\uff1a\u627e\u5230\u512a\u8cea\u80a1\uff0c\u6349\u7dca\u5979\uff1b\u8cb7\u4e86\u52a3\u8cea\u80a1\uff0c\u4e0d\u554f\u50f9\u62cb\u68c4\u7260\uff01<\/span><\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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