{"id":1471,"date":"2007-05-16T15:40:00","date_gmt":"2007-05-16T07:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tokuhon.blog\/2007\/05\/16\/%e9%be%9c%e5%85%94%e8%b3%bd%e8%b7%91%e2%94%80%e2%94%80%e8%a5%bf%e6%a0%bc%e7%88%be%e3%80%8a%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e8%80%85%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%aa%e4%be%86%e3%80%8b2007-05-16\/"},"modified":"2018-02-07T21:54:02","modified_gmt":"2018-02-07T13:54:02","slug":"%e9%be%9c%e5%85%94%e8%b3%bd%e8%b7%91%e2%94%80%e2%94%80%e8%a5%bf%e6%a0%bc%e7%88%be%e3%80%8a%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e8%80%85%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%aa%e4%be%86%e3%80%8b2007-05-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tokuhon.blog\/?p=1471","title":{"rendered":"\u9f9c\u5154\u8cfd\u8dd1\u2500\u2500\u897f\u683c\u723e\u300a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u300b(2007-05-16)"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n<\/a><\/p>\n
\"\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u5716\u50cf\"<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n

\u7b46\u8005\u65e9\u5e7e\u5929\u554f\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u300c\u9577\u7dda\u6295\u8cc7\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5169\u96bb\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4e26\u5c07\u80a1\u606f\u5168\u6578\u8cb7\u5165\u539f\u80a1\uff08\u6216\u8005\u4ee5\u80a1\u4ee3\u606f\uff09\uff0c\u908a\u4e00\u96bb\u6703\u8dd1\u8d0f\uff1f
\nA. \u7164\u6c23\u3000B. \u6e2f\u71c8\u300d<\/p>\n

\u7d50\u679c\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u5747\u662fA.\u7164\u6c23\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u4f4d\u7db2\u53cb\u7b54B.\u6e2f\u71c8\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u9ede\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5947\u602a\uff0c\u7164\u6c23\u662f\u9577\u671f\u7684\u9ad8\u589e\u9577\u80a1\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u5728\u570b\u5167\u5e02\u5834\u5927\u5c55\u62f3\u8173\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5b8c\u5168\u6c92\u6709\u7e8c\u671f\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff1b\u53cd\u89c0\u6e2f\u71c8\uff0c\u5e74\u5e74\u90fd\u8981\u7533\u8acb\u52a0\u50f9\u4f86\u7dad\u6301\u51c6\u8a31\u5229\u6f64\uff0c\u96f6\u516b\u5e74\u7e8c\u7d04\u9084\u662f\u672a\u77e5\u4e4b\u6578\uff0c\u6d77\u5916\u6295\u8cc7\u9023\u9023\u5931\u5229\u3002\u4f46\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u4e00\u4f4d\u670b\u53cb\u7368\u6392\u773e\u8b70\u5462\uff1f\u539f\u4f86\u540c\u7b46\u8005\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u4e5f\u770b\u904e\u897f\u683c\u723e(Jeremy J. Siegel)\u6700\u65b0\u8457\u4f5c\u2500\u2500\u300a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u300b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5148\u8b93\u7b46\u8005\u89e3\u7b54\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u96c5\u864e\u8ca1\u7d93<\/span><\/a>\u63d0\u4f9b\u6700\u9060\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u662f2000\u5e741\u6708\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u5c31\u4ee52000\u5e741\u6708\u81f3\u4eca\u4f86\u8a08\u7b97\uff1a<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u7164\u6c23\u80a1\u50f9\u4e0a\u534771%\uff0c\u6e2f\u71c8\u4e0a\u534766%\uff0c\u76f8\u5dee5\u500b\u767e\u4efd\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7164\u6c23\u5171\u6d3e\u606f$2.33\uff0c\u6e2f\u71c8\u5171\u6d3e\u606f$11.175\uff0c\u76f8\u5dee4.8\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n

2000\u5e741\u6708\u4ee5$100,000\u8cfc\u516510,050\u80a1\u7164\u6c23\uff0c\u6536\u5230\u80a1\u606f\u5f8c\u4ee5\u8a72\u6708\u6536\u5e02\u50f9\u5168\u6578\u8cfc\u5165\u7164\u6c23\uff0c\u81f32007\u5e744\u6708\u5e95\u7372\u5f9712,296\u80a1\uff0c\u5e02\u503c$228,704\uff0c\u589e\u9577129%<\/p>\n

2000\u5e741\u6708\u4ee5$100,000\u8cfc\u51654,158\u80a1\u6e2f\u71c8\uff0c\u6536\u5230\u80a1\u606f\u5f8c\u4ee5\u8a72\u6708\u6536\u5e02\u50f9\u5168\u6578\u8cfc\u5165\u6e2f\u71c8\uff0c\u81f32007\u5e744\u6708\u5e95\u7372\u5f975,954\u80a1\uff0c\u5e02\u503c$233,709\uff0c\u589e\u9577134%<\/p>\n

\u7d50\u679c\uff1a\u6e2f\u71c8\u8dd1\u8d0f\u7164\u6c232.2%<\/span><\/cite><\/p>\n

\u70ba\u751a\u9ebc\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u9019\u7a2e\u9055\u53cd\u5e38\u8b58\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff1f\u9019\u7a2e\u73fe\u8c61\u662f\u5de7\u5408\u9084\u662f\u5177\u6709\u666e\u904d\u6027\uff1f\u7b46\u8005\u5148\u89e3\u7b54\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u554f\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u80a1\u7968\u3000\u3000\u3000\uff13\u7164\u6c23\u3000\u3000\u3000\u3000\uff16\u6e2f\u71c8
\n\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u3000\u3000\uff11\uff17\uff0e\uff16\uff14\u3000\u3000\uff11\uff12\uff0e\uff14\uff13
\n\u606f\u7387\u3000\u3000\u3000\u3000\uff11\uff0e\uff18\uff17\u3000\u3000\u3000\uff14\uff0e\uff16\uff14
\n\u6d3e\u606f\u6bd4\u7387\u3000\u3000\u3000\uff13\uff13\uff05\u3000\u3000\u3000\u3000\uff15\uff18\uff05<\/p>\n

1. \u7164\u6c23\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u56de\u672c\u671f\uff08\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\uff09\u6bd4\u6e2f\u71c8\u957742%\uff0c\u4ee4\u7164\u6c23\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u589e\u9577\u7387\u9700\u8981\u9060\u9060\u9ad8\u65bc\u6e2f\u71c8\u624d\u80fd\u8ffd\u4e0a
\n2. \u6e2f\u71c8\u7684\u6d3e\u606f\u6bd4\u7164\u6c23\u9ad82.5\u500d\uff0c\u5c07\u80a1\u606f\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u662f\u6e2f\u71c8\u80a1\u6771\u80fd\u66f4\u5feb\u5730\u7d2f\u7a4d\u80a1\u7968
\n3. \u6e2f\u71c8\u628a\u66f4\u591a\u76c8\u5229\u6d3e\u56de\u80a1\u6771\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4f7f\u80a1\u6771\u80fd\u52d5\u7528\u66f4\u591a\u8cc7\u91d1\u589e\u6301\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u4e8c\u65b9\u9762\u516c\u53f8\u4fdd\u7559\u76c8\u5229\u53ca\u8cc7\u7522\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u80fd\u4f7f\u80a1\u6771\u4ee5\u66f4\u4f4e\u50f9\u589e\u6301<\/p>\n

\u5230\u7b2c\u4e8c\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u5217\u51fa\u540c\u671f\u5e7e\u985e\u4e3b\u8981\u85cd\u7c4c\u300c\u9f9c\u5154\u8cfd\u8dd1\u300d\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u9280\u884c\u80a1\u3000005\u532f\u8c50\uff1a$208,337\u3000011\u6046\u751f\uff1a$206,656<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5730\u7522\u80a1\u3000001\u9577\u5be6\uff1a$123,629\u3000012\u6046\u5730\uff1a$139,376\u3000016\u65b0\u5730\uff1a$152,142<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5de5\u5546\u80a1\u3000013\u548c\u9ec3\uff1a$80,890\u3000\u3000019\u592a\u53e4\uff1a$294,117<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u516c\u7528\u80a1\u3000002\u4e2d\u96fb\uff1a$232,741\u3000003\u7164\u6c23\uff1a$228,704\u3000006\u6e2f\u71c8\uff1a$233,709<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u56db\u985e\u80a1\u7968\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c45\u7136\u662f\u516c\u7528\u80a1\u8dd1\u8d0f\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u9023\u532f\u8c50\u4e5f\u7121\u6cd5\u8dd1\u8d0f\u6e2f\u71c8\u9019\u985e\u4f4e\u589e\u9577\u80a1\u3002\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u5dee\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u98fd\u53d7\u6a13\u5e02\u6467\u6b98\u7684\u5730\u7522\u80a1\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u662f\u7576\u5e74\u56e0\u70ba3G\u4ea4\u6613\u6253\u7834\u9999\u6e2f\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u4f86\u76c8\u5229\u6700\u9ad8\u7d00\u9304\u7684\u548c\u9ec3\u3002\u800c\u5341\u96bb\u80a1\u7968\u4e2d\uff0c\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u5c45\u7136\u662f\u88ab\u4eba\u76ee\u70ba\u6c92\u6709\u7a81\u7834\u6027\uff0c\u4e14\u6703\u88ab\u9577\u671f\u4e0d\u666f\u7684\u822a\u904b\u53ca\u822a\u7a7a\u696d\u62d6\u7d2f\u7684\u592a\u53e4\uff01\u9019\u53c8\u8aaa\u660e\u751a\u9ebc\uff1f\u897f\u683c\u723e\u3000\u8457\u300a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u300b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7b54\u6848<\/span><\/a>\u3002<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6c83\u9813\u5546\u5b78\u9662\u91d1\u878d\u5b78\u6559\u6388\u5091\u745e\u7c73\u00b7\u897f\u683c\u723e\uff08Jeremy Siegel\uff09\u6700\u8fd1\u56de\u9867\u9053\uff1a\u2018\u54ea\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\u503c\u5f97\u9577\u671f\u6295\u8cc7\uff1f\u2019\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\u662f\uff1a\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u71b1\u9580\u7684\u65b0\u884c\u696d\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u5728\u66f4\u591a\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e4f\u5473\u50b3\u7d71\u7684\u516c\u53f8<\/span>\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u51fa\u552e\u9999\u7159\uff0c\u6316\u6398\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c\u515c\u552e\u8edf\u98f2\u6599\u548c\u53e3\u9999\u7cd6\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002\u897f\u683c\u723e\u7e3d\u7d50\u8aaa\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6307\u6578\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u90a3\u4e9b\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u8f03\u4f4e\uff0c\u5206\u7d05\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u80a1\u7968<\/span>\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5728\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u4e2d\u6301\u670940%\u5916\u570b\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u201c\u6307\u6578\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u500b\u597d\u6771\u897f\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u5728\u4e00\u6b21\u63a1\u8a2a\u4e2d\u8aaa\u9053\u3002\u201c\u4f46\u662f\u73fe\u5728\uff0c\u6211\u505a\u4e86\u6240\u6709\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u505a\u7684\u66f4\u597d\u3002\u201d\u6070\u7576\u7684\u7d44\u5408\u80fd\u5920\u4f7f\u5e74\u5ea6\u56de\u5831\u5728\u6307\u6578\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u5230\u5169\u500b\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\uff0c\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u6210\u9577\u9677\u9631\u201d<\/p>\n

\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u56e0\u7d20\u4ee4\u90a3\u4e9b\u8f03\u70ba\u5e73\u6de1\u7684\u50b3\u7d71\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u8d85\u904e\u90a3\u4e9b\u4ee4\u4eba\u6fc0\u52d5\u7684\u5275\u65b0\u8005\u5462\uff1f\u201c\u7b54\u6848\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\uff0c\u201d\u897f\u683c\u723e\u5728\u66f8\u4e2d\u5beb\u9053\u3002\u201c\u96d6\u7136\u65b0\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u6536\u76ca\u3001\u92b7\u552e\u751a\u81f3\u5e02\u5834\u50f9\u503c\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u8981\u6bd4\u8001\u516c\u53f8\u589e\u9577\u7684\u5feb\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8cfc\u8cb7\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u904e\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6295\u8cc7\u96e3\u4ee5\u53d6\u5f97\u826f\u597d\u7684\u56de\u5831<\/span>\u3002\u9ad8\u80a1\u50f9\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u8457\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u7d05\u5229\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u901a\u904e\u7d05\u5229\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\u7372\u5f97\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4e5f\u5c11\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u897f\u683c\u723e\u628a\u9019\u7a31\u70ba\u201c\u6210\u9577\u9677\u9631\u201d\u2014\u2014\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u50be\u5411\u4e8e\u82b1\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u50f9\u9322\u8cfc\u8cb7\u9ad8\u6210\u9577\u6027\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u5011\u5c0d\u516c\u53f8\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u6210\u9577\u671f\u671b\u904e\u9ad8\u3002\u5f9e1950\u5e74\u52302003\u5e74\uff0cIBM\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u80a1\u50f9\u70ba\u5176\u5e74\u6536\u76ca\u768426.76\u500d\uff0c\u800c\u6a19\u6e96\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u70ba\u5176\u6536\u76ca\u768412.97\u500d\u3002IBM\u7684\u7d05\u5229\u6536\u76ca\uff08\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u7d05\u5229\u9664\u4ee5\u80a1\u50f9\uff09\u70ba2.18%\uff0c\u800c\u6a19\u6e96\u77f3\u6cb9\u5247\u662f5.19%.<\/p>\n

\u6a19\u6e96\u77f3\u6cb9\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u7d05\u5229\u6536\u76ca\u8b93\u5176\u80a1\u6771\u80fd\u5920\u7372\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u6efe\u96ea\u7403\u6548\u61c9\u3002\u201c\u5206\u7d05\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u201d\u897f\u683c\u723e\u8aaa\u3002\u201c\u7d05\u5229\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u5f88\u591a\u9577\u671f\u6210\u529f\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u512a\u52e2\u6240\u5728<\/span>\u2026\u2026\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u56de\u5831\u4e0d\u662f\u770b\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u55ae\u7d14\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u9019\u4e00\u6536\u76ca\u589e\u9577\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u8d85\u904e\u4e86\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u9810\u671f<\/span>\u3002\u5c0d\u589e\u9577\u7684\u9810\u671f\u4e5f\u9ad4\u73fe\u5728\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u4e0a\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e500\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\u6210\u5206\u80a1\u4e2d\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u80fd\u5920\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5e36\u4f86\u6bd4\u6295\u8cc7\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e500\u6307\u6578\u9ad8\u51fa3%\u7684\u56de\u5831\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6295\u8cc7\u5176\u4e2d\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u56de\u5831\u5247\u8981\u6bd4\u6307\u6578\u4f4e2%\u3002\u201d<\/span><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n

 <\/p>\n

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